Kobow Lotto · Research
Research library · Updated April 2026

The lotteries we study, before we ship.

Every Kobow Lotto engagement starts with a dossier — audited digital flows, cohort decomposition, bilingual compression tests, regulatory timelines and inter-provincial share drift. We publish the ones we can, because the Crowns that run modern lotteries already know most of it, and the ones that don't should.

PT: Toda operação da Kobow Lotto começa com um dossier — fluxos digitais auditados, decomposição de coortes, testes de compressão bilíngue, cronograma regulatório e deriva de market-share inter-provincial. Publicamos os que podemos; as Crowns que operam loterias modernas já sabem quase tudo, e as que não sabem, deveriam.

14
Jurisdictions audited
CA$14.5B
Canadian market FY24
10
Chapter deep brief
72%
Bilingual compression
Featured dossier

Canada — inter-provincial share drift, cohort decomposition & digital audit

10-chapter deep brief · Canada

The Canadian Crown lottery — ten theses, one operating gap.

Updated Apr 2026 · Reading time 38 min

FY20 → FY24 national GGR drift, Ontario iGO cannibalisation thesis (FY22 CA$1.4B → FY24 CA$2.45B, +32.2% CAGR), age-cohort decomposition (18–24: 8.4% / 55+: 30.7%), bilingual compression failure modes at Loto-Québec, digital audit scorecard per Crown, regulatory timeline for AB Q2 2026 / SK FY27 / Atlantic FY27-28, and the specific operating-model gap every incumbent supplier stack leaves unfilled.

Read the full dossier
Province-by-province briefs

Five Crown lotteries, five operating realities.

OLG · BCLC · ALC · Loto-Québec · WCLC

Per-Crown dossiers: GGR, product mix, digital share, iCasino posture, bilingual exposure, Indigenous partnership landscape, retail network density, and the single largest operating-model gap each corporation carries into 2026.

Browse province briefs
Research tracks

What we publish when we can.

Coming May 2026

Cohort decomposition v2 — 18–24 engagement across 14 jurisdictions.

LTV · retention · product affinity

Why the 18–24 cohort is 8.4% of Canadian lottery revenue but 34% of Ontario iGaming, and what that asymmetry says about which product categories a Crown can still own in 2030.

In progress
Coming May 2026

Digital audit — every Crown lottery, scored.

UX · load · KYC · bilingual · dark patterns

A 42-point audit run against every public Crown lottery digital surface — load times, KYC friction, bilingual parity, dark-pattern exposure, WCAG AA compliance, and the single page every Crown should rebuild first.

In progress
Coming Jun 2026

Bilingual compression — the 72% problem.

EN ↔ FR · Loto-Québec · OLG · ALC

French compresses to 60–72% of English character count in regulated lottery copy. What breaks when a creative team assumes parity: truncation, wrap, legal-copy drift, and the bilingual compression rule every bilingual Crown enforces — often inconsistently.

In progress
Coming Jun 2026

Regulatory timeline 2026–2028.

AB · SK · Atlantic · BR · CO · DGOJ

Calendar of the open-iGaming moves that will restructure North American Crown lottery share: Alberta Q2 2026, Saskatchewan FY27, Atlantic FY27–28, and the second-order effects on WCLC and ALC consortia.

In progress
Coming Jul 2026

Indigenous partnership economics.

FNLGC · MLC · ALC FNGA framework

How First Nations gaming commission frameworks reshape the product roadmap of a Crown lottery: revenue share, sovereign-gaming overlap, and why the Ontario model doesn't transplant to the prairies or the Atlantic.

In progress
Coming Jul 2026

Hybrid retail — Paper → POSD.

Pull-tab · scratch · terminal · digital claim

The hybrid paper-to-point-of-sale-digital bridge that every Crown lottery needs to defend the retail channel without cannibalising it. Field data from ND / OH pull-tab cabinets, MN iPad-style terminals, and BCLC hybrid claim flows.

In progress
How we research

Primary source, audited flow, cohort-decomposed read.

01 · Primary data

Public filings first.

Annual reports · AGCO quarterly · iGO data

Every figure you see in a Kobow dossier is traced to a public filing, regulator dataset, or published Crown-lottery annual report. No modelled numbers dressed as facts.

02 · Audited flow

We run the flow.

KYC · deposit · claim · bilingual parity

Every digital audit is the result of our team running the actual flow end-to-end — registering, depositing, claiming, switching language, testing accessibility — on the real production surface.

03 · Cohort decomposition

Market-level numbers lie.

Age · product · channel · geography

The Canadian lottery market grew 2.0% CAGR FY20–FY24. The 18–24 cohort at Loto-Québec grew –3.4%. The OLG iGaming 25–34 cohort grew +41%. Cohort decomposition is where the operating strategy actually lives.